Sales for September, 2017

We are about to re-invest for the 2017 stock season.  Would like to clear out some of the stocks we no longer want to hold.

Portfolios One, Two and Three – no sales (we made some recent sales in Portfolio One).

Portfolio Four (M):

  • Sell Devon (DVN) – hit hard by recent down turn in oil prices
  • Sell Spirit Airlines (SAVE) – in a price war with much larger competitors

Portfolio Five (D):

  • Sell Spirit Airlines (SAVE) – in a price war with much larger competitors
  • Sell Tata Motors (TTM) – value driven mostly from non-India components (Jaguar and Land Rover)

Portfolio Six:

  • Sell Tata Motors (TTM) – value driven mostly from non-India components (Jaguar and Land Rover)

Portfolio Seven (G):

  • Sell Spirit Airlines (SAVE) – in a price war with much larger competitors

Portfolio Eight (K):

  • Sell Tata Motors (TTM) – value driven mostly from non-India components (Jaguar and Land Rover)

 

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Portfolio Five Updated August 2017

Portfolio five is 8 years old.  The trustee contributed $8000 and the beneficiary $4000 for a total of $12,000.  The current value is $14,184 for a gain of $2,184 or 18%, which works out to 4% / year.  See detail here or go to a link on the right.

We are evaluating stocks to sell prior to our summer purchases.

  • Tata (TTM) – Indian automaker who is down significantly.  Likely sell
  • Spirit Airlines (SAVE) – US discount airlines that is facing more competition and headwinds.  Possible sell
  • ConocoPhillips (COP) – integrated oil and gas company hit by falling commodity prices.  Possible sell

Portfolio 4 Updated August 2017

Portfolio 4 is 8 years old.  The trustee contributed $8000 and the beneficiary $4000 for a total of $12,000.  The current value is $14,957 for a gain of $2,957 or 25% which is about 5% / year adjusted for the timing of cash flows.  Go here or to the link on the right for more details.

We need to make some decisions on stocks prior to investing:

  • Devon (DVN) – energy company hit hard by the decline in oil and gas prices.  Likely sell
  • Spirit Airlines (SAVE) – discount airlines down recently due to increased competition from major airlines.  May sell
  • Nucor (NUE) – metals company under continuous pressure from cheaper overseas imports.  May sell

Portfolio Seven Updated August 2017

Portfolio Seven is 2 years old.  The trustee invested $2000 and the beneficiary $1000 for a total of $3000.  The current value is $4209 for a gain of $1209 or 40%, which is 24% / year adjusted for the timing of cash flows.  You can see the detail here or in the link to the right.

When you have a portfolio with only 4 stocks like this one, an increase in a single stock can impact your performance (positively or negatively).  In this case Alibaba (BABA) the Chinese e-commerce giant has done very well which has accounted for 2/3 of the total growth in portfolio value.

We have one stock “on watch” which is Spirit Airlines (SAVE).  The stock is down about 40% from its high price.  We are considering selling this or holding on as it competes with other airlines.

Portfolio Five Updated January 2017 – Tax Time

Portfolio five is a bit over 7 years old.  The beneficiary contributed $4000 and the trustee $8000 for a total of $12,000.  The current value is $14,071 for a gain of $2071 or 17%, which is 3.5% / year when adjusted for the timing of cash flows.  The spreadsheet can be found on the link to the right or you can download it here.

During 2016 we had about $223 in dividends for an average yield of about 1.6%.  There was a capital loss of $134 on the sale of LinkedIn (which was bought by Microsoft).  The portfolio is doing well, with Spirit Airlines (SAVE) being a recent winner.  Our sales also seem OK in hindsight.

It’s Stock Picking Time for 2016!

Every year at the end of the summer we select stocks.  Here are the choices for 2016.

US Companies

Spirit Airlines (SAVE) – $40 (52 week high / low $53 / $33), $2.8B market cap, no dividend, $0.6B debt.  Spirit Airlines is a low cost airline that is challenging the oligopoly domestic carriers.

Gilead Sciences (GILD) – $77 (52 week high / low $113 / $77), $101B market cap, 2.4% dividend, $21B debt.  Gilead Sciences is a pharmaceutical company.

General Electric (GE) – $31 (52 week high / low $33 / $23), $281B market cap, 2.9% dividend, $145B debt.  General Electric is a conglomerate that has exited financial services.

International Companies

Unilever ADR UK (UL) – $48 (52 week high / low $38 / $48), $150B market cap, 2.9% dividend, $13B debt.  Unilever is a British consumer goods company with a strong global presence.  This is the ADR that pays out in British Pounds so that there is no tax withholding.

SAP ADR (SAP) – $89 (52 week high / low $62 / $89), $112B market cap, 1.5% dividend, $8B debt.  SAP is a German software company with a strong global presence.

Elbit Systems ADR (ESLT) – $97 (52 week high / low $72 / $103), $4B market cap, 1.6% dividend, $0.4B debt.  Elbit Systems is an Israeli defense contractor.