Portfolio 1 Updated April 2017

Portfolio One is 15 1/2 years old.  The beneficiary contributed $7500 and the trustee $15,500 for a total of $23,000.  The current value is $41,421 for a gain of $18,421 or 80%, which is about 6.2% / year when adjusted for the timing of cash flows.   You can see the data here or follow the link on the right.

The portfolio is generally doing well.  This portfolio is the first to be moved from a trust fund to the beneficiaries control (although technically they were under control from 18 onward).  The trustee now has agency to track the stocks and dividends and make transactions.  Now there will be charges for buys and sells (I think it is about $20 / trade) but this shouldn’t be too bad since we don’t do a lot of transactions annually.

What a Stock Market Rally Looks Like

Rally_View

The stock market has been on a tear since the election.  Initially, the stock rally was concentrated in a few industries where investors believed the new administration would assist their financial position (airlines, banks, etc…).  Recently, the rally has taken on a life of its own and is just going UP.  There are 21 stocks contained in Portfolio One, and today 20 of the 21 stocks went up (one foreign stock ADR went down slightly).  This sort of correlation amongst all the stocks is a sign of euphoria in the market.  I don’t have any particular insight into where stocks are moving next but this is an interesting sign for the market right now.

Portfolio One Updated January 2017 – Tax Time

Portfolio One is our longest lived portfolio, at over 15 years.  The beneficiary contributed $7500 and the trustee $17,000 for a total of $24,500.  The current value is $39,250 for a gain of $14,750 or 60% since inception with an annual return of just over 5%.  See the detailed spreadsheet at the links on the right or download it here.

In 2016 we had no sales for tax purposes and about $790 in dividends (the exact amount on the tax return will be different because this is net of foreign tax withholding).  Generally the stocks in this portfolio are doing well with just a couple on watch.

Looking back on all the 20+ sales over the years most have been good in hindsight, with the obvious exceptions of Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Southwest Airlines (LUV).  Hindsight isn’t 20/20 and likely as this portfolio transitions over to the beneficiary (I still will advise) at some point we will stop looking so far back into the past and just look forward.

 

 

Portfolio One Updated March 2016 – Tax Time

Portfolio One is our longest lived portfolio, starting right after 9/11 and is 14 1/2 years old.  The current value is $35,158 with the beneficiary contributing $7500 and the trustee $16,500, for a total of $24,000.  Thus the gain is $11,158 or 46%, which works out to about 4.5% / year over the life of the portfolio adjusted for the timing of cash flows.   The detail can be found on the links on the right or you can go here to download the spreadsheet.

There are 20 stocks in the portfolio, which is about the maximum I’d want to track in a single portfolio.  When we add new cash into the portfolio and / or sell existing stocks we are consolidating in order to keep at a maximum of 20 stocks.

We had three sales last year, with Garmin (GRMN), Yahoo (YHOO) and TransAlta (TAC).  We had four purchases with Box (BOX), Novartis (NVS), Tesla Motors (TSLA) and Tata Motors (TTM).

We had a net long term capital loss last year, driven primarily by TransAlta.  Up to $3000 in stock losses can be deducted against ordinary income so this at least should be helpful on the beneficiary’s tax form.  The portfolio earned $935 in dividends and had $70 in foreign taxes withheld (this can be deducted as a benefit on the US tax return).  It is important to realize the percent of total return that comes from dividends; while some companies like Tesla won’t pay dividends (because they are growing rapidly), the return on dividends from established companies is an important source of income growth for the portfolio.  I will be sending the tax information to the beneficiary from the brokerage company after completing this update.

Portfolio One After 2015 Stock Purchases and Sales

Portfolio_One_Post_2015_Purchases

Attached is a screen shot from Google Finance for Portfolio One after the purchases and sales from Fall, 2015.  New purchases are Tesla (TSLA), Tata Motors (TTM), Novartis (NVS) and Box (BOX).  The remaining cash also is updated.  The % return by stock does not include dividends (only “raw” stock price appreciation or depreciation), so dividend payers have a higher return than is listed.

Portfolio One Updated October 2015

Portfolio One is our longest lived portfolio, at 14 years.  It started right after 9/11 and has tracked the ups and downs of the stock market since then.

The beneficiary has contributed $7000 and the trustee $15,500 for a total of $22,500.  The current value of the portfolio is $34,648, a gain of $12,148 or 54% since inception, at a rate of about 5.5% / year.  To date dividends have contributed over $5000 towards the value of this portfolio.  You can download the portfolio here or go to the links on the right.

For the year to date, the portfolio stocks are down about 7%, compared with the S&P 500 being up 2% and the non-US index down about 6% (in US Dollar terms).  The portfolio is roughly half US and half non US and the increased downturn is due to our concentration in resource stocks and some currencies that depreciated significantly vs. the US Dollar.

There are 19 stocks in the portfolio, with an average value of about $1700.  The largest position is Exxon (XOM) at about $3000 and there are 2 stocks under $1000, Statoil (STO) and Trans-Alta Corporation (TAC).  It isn’t a co-incidence that STO and TAC have been hit by the recent commodity price downturn (Exxon too, although not as much).  The goal would be to have less than 20 or so stocks in the portfolio.

There has been a lot of volatility in the market and we’ve been holding off on selling to see how the dust settles.  We may make some sales prior to reinvesting the new stock selections for 2015.  Items that we are considering for sale are TransAlta (TAC), Yahoo (YHOO), Garmin (GRMN), and Wal-Mart (WMT), although we don’t want to make hasty actions based on short term moves (this mainly applies to Wal-Mart).